Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Educational Services Earnings Growth
Across Florida Counties
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
Florida:
2010-2022 = 4.95%
2022 = 5.34%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real educational services earnings growth across all of Florida's 67 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Florida Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real educational services earnings growth of Florida's 67 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
Florida:
2010-2022 = 4.95%
2022 = 5.34%
This figure displays the 67 counties of Florida as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real educational services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real educational services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.95%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.95% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.95%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 28 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 11 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 23 counties whose most recent (2022) real educational services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.34%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 16 counties whose real educational services earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 67 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.95% over 2010-2022 and 5.34% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real educational services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.95%) and near-term (5.34%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.95%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Florida average (5.34%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.95%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (5.34%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real educational services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.95%) and near-term (5.34%).
   
 
Summary of Florida's 67 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(5.34%)
Above
(5.34%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.95%)
11
17
28
Below
(4.95%)
5
6
11
 
16
23
39
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Florida:
2010-2022 = 4.95%
2022 = 5.34%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Florida counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Florida's average annual real educational services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.95%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.34%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Florida's 67 counties, 17 (25%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Florida:
2010-2022 = 4.95%
2022 = 5.34%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Florida counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.95%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 5.34%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 11 (16%) of Florida's 67 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Florida:
2010-2022 = 4.95%
2022 = 5.34%
This figure shows the distribution of the 6 Florida counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.95%), while they outpaced Florida's average near-term (2022 = 5.34%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Florida's 67 counties, only 9% (6) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Florida:
2010-2022 = 4.95%
2022 = 5.34%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 5 Florida counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real educational services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.95%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.34%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
7% of Florida's counties, 5 of 67, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Florida
Real* Educational Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
1
15.79
 
5
22.77
20,699
 
16
6.56
 
23
8.25
150,985
 
2
15.69
 
25
6.40
12,221
 
21
6.16
 
14
10.47
165,225
 
10
8.22
 
10
13.29
12,908
 
11
8.10
 
15
10.37
15,538
 
23
5.71
 
20
9.05
887,661
 
27
5.23
 
4
22.82
107,351
 
13
7.09
 
12
11.49
140,977
 
8
8.58
 
22
8.52
198,192
 
24
5.30
 
26
6.36
32,019
 
12
7.65
 
21
8.54
30,109
 
9
8.56
 
19
9.36
1,412,495
 
18
6.41
 
13
11.10
128,160
 
26
5.25
 
6
20.89
28,719
 
28
5.03
 
17
9.68
201,939
 
4
12.83
 
7
15.57
21,330
Slipping Counties
 
20
6.17
 
32
3.48
362,105
 
3
13.39
 
42
-0.31
14,061
 
25
5.26
 
40
-0.10
59,414
 
5
11.58
 
37
1.32
106,449
 
17
6.50
 
31
4.07
866,992
 
15
6.77
 
33
3.42
194,738
 
14
7.00
 
45
-2.88
674,848
 
19
6.33
 
38
0.83
280,363
 
6
9.78
 
50
-15.20
6,376
 
7
9.37
 
35
2.28
67,074
 
22
5.89
 
30
4.75
214,544
Gaining Counties
 
29
4.86
 
9
14.30
117,676
 
31
4.45
 
16
10.24
53,724
 
34
3.57
 
24
7.09
180,038
 
33
3.83
 
28
6.03
2,442,767
 
36
3.01
 
18
9.66
40,194
 
30
4.68
 
27
6.06
423,170
Lagging Counties
 
37
1.71
 
39
0.16
1,308,207
 
39
-1.56
 
47
-6.12
5,096
 
32
4.39
 
34
3.26
509,904
 
35
3.26
 
29
4.97
8,231
 
38
1.67
 
36
2.11
2,804
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
46
-3.95
24,778
 
U
U
 
3
29.02
2,552
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
11
12.22
65,228
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
51
-32.00
831
 
U
U
 
49
-10.63
3,228
 
U
U
 
1
41.75
876
 
U
U
 
48
-6.44
1,962
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
8
15.39
12,070
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
43
-0.85
29,132
 
U
U
 
44
-2.81
588
 
U
U
 
2
34.70
753
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
41
-0.17
2,308
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.95
 
5.34
11,672,019
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.32
 
4.65
254,764,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611500_LSGL
 
   
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