Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Earnings Growth
Across Florida Counties
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
Florida:
2010-2022 = 22.63%
2022 = 29.32%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth across all of Florida's 67 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Florida Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth of Florida's 67 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
Florida:
2010-2022 = 22.63%
2022 = 29.32%
This figure displays the 67 counties of Florida as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 22.63%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 22.63% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (22.63%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 20 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 38 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 13 counties whose most recent (2022) real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (29.32%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 45 counties whose real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 67 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 22.63% over 2010-2022 and 29.32% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (22.63%) and near-term (29.32%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (22.63%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Florida average (29.32%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (22.63%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (29.32%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (22.63%) and near-term (29.32%).
   
 
Summary of Florida's 67 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(29.32%)
Above
(29.32%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(22.63%)
15
5
20
Below
(22.63%)
30
8
38
 
45
13
58
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Florida:
2010-2022 = 22.63%
2022 = 29.32%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Florida counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Florida's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 22.63%) as well as near-term (2022 = 29.32%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Florida's 67 counties, just 5 (7%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Florida:
2010-2022 = 22.63%
2022 = 29.32%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 15 Florida counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 22.63%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 29.32%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 15 (22%) of Florida's 67 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Florida:
2010-2022 = 22.63%
2022 = 29.32%
This figure shows the distribution of the 8 Florida counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 22.63%), while they outpaced Florida's average near-term (2022 = 29.32%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Florida's 67 counties, only 12% (8) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Florida:
2010-2022 = 22.63%
2022 = 29.32%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 30 Florida counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 22.63%) as well as near-term (2022 = 29.32%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
45% of Florida's counties, 30 of 67, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Florida
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
19
23.44
 
8
39.28
11,616
 
17
26.10
 
3
51.75
2,941
 
7
54.45
 
4
50.22
2,418,337
 
15
31.39
 
12
34.67
306,127
 
20
23.08
 
10
38.41
84,421
Slipping Counties
 
16
26.63
 
19
28.83
158,502
 
8
48.42
 
38
21.31
694,989
 
2
480.62
 
27
26.07
26,424
 
14
31.98
 
49
16.63
56,636
 
5
76.81
 
60
9.23
13,622
 
18
24.22
 
26
26.24
4,667
 
1
1,204.16
 
30
24.03
454,653
 
9
45.27
 
32
22.79
156,509
 
6
67.70
 
58
13.85
36,109
 
12
35.50
 
45
18.72
286,595
 
4
113.83
 
46
18.42
1,746,315
 
10
43.85
 
31
23.97
361,758
 
3
279.00
 
33
22.53
5,737
 
13
34.70
 
22
27.89
2,935
 
11
37.70
 
17
29.24
272,034
Gaining Counties
 
30
15.08
 
11
37.84
1,794,308
 
31
14.89
 
5
49.19
2,569
 
38
12.31
 
6
47.89
57,128
 
44
10.35
 
9
38.62
1,428,920
 
26
16.86
 
14
31.93
1,085,700
 
23
20.41
 
2
116.91
610,162
 
32
14.62
 
15
31.72
185,153
 
29
15.49
 
13
33.09
6,355
Lagging Counties
 
28
15.66
 
54
14.75
228,392
 
43
11.18
 
18
29.11
6,165
 
46
10.12
 
36
21.80
332,820
 
41
11.85
 
53
15.19
123,114
 
33
14.55
 
21
28.03
75,522
 
53
8.31
 
43
19.74
88,392
 
58
-0.69
 
62
3.62
3,580
 
39
12.05
 
35
22.14
1,368,616
 
45
10.29
 
40
20.36
241,352
 
52
8.51
 
52
15.45
15,636
 
56
3.46
 
63
-16.48
2,109
 
55
6.88
 
61
4.39
6,153
 
54
7.93
 
25
26.42
31,981
 
35
14.09
 
44
18.95
198,479
 
57
3.30
 
48
17.62
6,015
 
36
12.54
 
47
18.19
170,220
 
40
11.98
 
20
28.17
252,747
 
47
9.69
 
56
14.16
6,900
 
25
17.70
 
23
27.02
191,195
 
34
14.21
 
42
19.75
199,488
 
21
21.59
 
39
20.56
297,545
 
49
8.84
 
24
26.50
11,303
 
50
8.84
 
41
19.91
2,264,267
 
51
8.81
 
55
14.71
173,886
 
37
12.39
 
59
10.46
11,644
 
27
16.51
 
57
13.95
193,208
 
22
20.52
 
29
24.45
125,147
 
24
17.93
 
28
26.01
592,315
 
48
9.32
 
51
15.65
366,237
 
42
11.28
 
50
15.78
2,084
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
37
21.31
2,038
 
U
U
 
7
41.43
693
 
U
U
 
1
423.21
293
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
683
 
U
U
 
S
S
4,383
 
U
U
 
34
22.26
346
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
16
30.61
2,667
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
22.63
 
29.32
19,871,415
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8.71
 
1.66
389,364,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611100_LSGL
 
   
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